A Turning Point for Policy
A Turning Point for Policy The RBA surprised markets this week by slowing the pace of rates increase, opting for a 25bp move against expectations of a 50bp increase. Meanwhile, the RBNZ continued to show a heavy hand against domestic inflation pressures, having delivered a fifth consecutive 50bp rate hike. In explaining their decision to […]
U.S. Dollar Index Overview
U.S. Dollar Index Overview The USD was the most strongest currency yesterday, supported by rising US yields and softer import/export data. And whilst the prices paid component of the ISM services PMI softened to a 20-month of 68.8, it remains historically high relative to its long-term average of 59.8- which suggests the aggressive Fed tightening […]
Recession Fears: The Ukraine war is affecting markets
Recession Fears: The Ukraine war is affecting markets The Ukraine ware is affecting markets around the world and generating extreme volatility. Worries over inflation in Europe have been brewing even before Russia war with Ukraine in February. While some considered it was temporary, others warned that it was a sign of a deeper crisis. Now, […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, AUD, CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, AUD, CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD, USD JPY: BOJ Summary of Opinions, It’s the primary tool the BOJ uses to communicate their economic and monetary projections to investors. JPY: Tankan Manufacturing Index, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed large manufacturers. JPY: Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index, it measures […]
US Housing data, Core PCE inflation
US Housing data, Core PCE inflation The slowing US housing market is making alive some memories from the 200—2009 great recession but there is some confusion about whether it’s a red flag for the economy these days. New home sales have been trending downwards so far this year and the August reading is expected to […]
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, GBP, EUR, CAD, CHF, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, GBP, EUR, CAD, CHF, USD AUD: Flash Manufacturing PMI, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. AUD: Flash Services PMI, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry. GBP: GfK Consumer Confidence, […]
Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, JPY, CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD, USD, EUR
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, JPY, CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD, USD, EUR NZD: Westpac Consumer Sentiment, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers. NZD: Trade Balance, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers. JPY: BOJ Core CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods […]
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, NZD, GBP, USD, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, NZD, GBP, USD, USD AUD: MI Leading Index m/m, it measures Change in the level of a composite index based on 9 economic indicators. AUD: RBA Deputy Gov Bullock Speaks, She’s responsible for advising Reserve Bank Board members – who decide where to set the nation’s key interest rates […]
Reserve Bank Of Australia Raises Rates Again
Reserve Bank of Australia raises rates again The Reserve Bank Board should slow the pace of rate increases once it reaches its assessment of neutral. That is particularly because of the treacherous lags that will have built up as the inevitable result of such a sharp rate increase in rates, from 0.1% back in May. […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, AUD, CHF, EUR, CAD, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, AUD, CHF, EUR, CAD, USD JPY: National Core CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding fresh food. AUD: Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, It’s a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board’s most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the […]
USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report
USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report US bond yields have continued to rise in an almost parabolic fashion, with 1 year note now just shy of 4%, and the 2-year at 3.8% with an increasingly inverted yield curve. And large speculators are not shy in capitalizing on these lower bond prices- […]
Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, JPY, AUD, EUR, GBP, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, JPY, AUD, EUR, GBP, USD NZD: GDP q/q, it measures Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. JPY: Trade Balance, it measures Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month. AUD: MI Inflation Expectations, it measures Percentage that […]
What will happen to GBP/USD if the UK surprises with higher CPI?
What will happen to GBP/USD if the UK surprises with higher CPI? US released its August CPI report. The headline was 8.3% YoY and expectation of 8.1% YoY and a July reading of 8.5% YoY. Headline inflation is decreasing. However, the Core CPI print for August was 6.3% YoY vs an expectation of 6.1% […]
Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, GBP, JPY, EUR, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, GBP, JPY, EUR, USD NZD: Visitor Arrivals m/m, it measures Change in the number of short-term overseas visitors who arrived in the country. GBP: GDP m/m, it measures Change in the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy. GBP: Construction Output m/m, it measures Change […]
RBA to Raise the Cash Rate by 50 bps, AUD
RBA to Raise the Cash Rate by 50 bps, AUD Reserve Bank meeting is on 6th September. It is expected that the cash rate will be raised by 50 basis points to 2.35%. The best approach will be to strengthen the statement we saw last month, not on a pre set path and following Chair […]
Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, GBP, EUR, CAD
Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, GBP, EUR, CAD NZD: Trade Balance, it measures Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month. GBP: GfK Consumer Confidence, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers. JPY: National Core CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased […]
US CPI Preview: Are we past peak inflation?
US CPI Preview: Are we past peak inflation? Price pressure may show slowing down while the Fed’s preferred Core CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising. Tomorrow the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July Consumer Price Index report. Economists are expecting CPI headline to come in at 0.2% MoM , […]
Upcoming Market Updates: GBP, AUD, JPY, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: GBP, AUD, JPY, USD GBP: BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y, it measures Change in the value of same-store sales at the retail level. GBP: M2 Money Stock y/y, it measures Change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks. AUD: Westpac Consumer Sentiment, it measures Change in […]