US Yields Climb as Fed’s Powell Reinforces Commitment to Addressing Inflation
US Yields Climb as Fed’s Powell Reinforces Commitment to Addressing Inflation Following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which reinforced the central bank’s dedication to addressing inflation and achieving the 2% target, US Treasury yields experienced a rise. The yield curve inversion between two-year and 10-year Treasury notes intensified, implying that investors expect further rate […]
Dollar firm ahead of Powell testimony, sterling up on hot inflation
Dollar firm ahead of Powell testimony, sterling up on hot inflation The dollar was firmer on Wednesday leading into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s appearance before Congress where he is expected to strike a hawkish tone, while sterling firmed slightly after hotter-than-expected British inflation data. The annual pace of British consumer price gains was steady […]
Dollar in demand as modest China rate cut hits sentiment
Dollar in demand as modest China rate cut hits sentiment The U.S. dollar gained in early European trade Tuesday, with this safe haven in demand as a rate cut by China’s central bank failed to assuage investor concerns over slowing economic growth. At 01:55 ET (05:55 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against […]
Today’s FOMC Will be a Key Focus for China and Hong Kong Stocks
Today’s FOMC Will be a Key Focus for China and Hong Kong Stocks China proxies; Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng TECH, and Hang Seng China Enterprises have outperformed S&P 500 & MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan since 31 May. This outperformance has been reinforced by more impending monetary policy easing measures from China’s central […]
A Busy Week for Central Banks
A Busy Week for Central Banks Sentiment is cautiously bullish into the next US CPI figure, due tomorrow, and the next FOMC decision due Wednesday. U.S. inflation is expected to have fallen to 4.1% in May from 4.9%, and core inflation is estimated to be lower at 5.3% from 5.5% published the previous month earlier. […]
EUR/USD flat-lines around mid-1.0700s, traders await US CPI and FOMC decision this week
EUR/USD flat-lines around mid-1.0700s, traders await US CPI and FOMC decision this week The EUR/USD pair recovers a few pips from the Asian session low and for now, seems to have stalled its retracement slide from over a two-week high touched on Friday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.0700s, nearly unchanged for the day, […]
Chinese Markets Unmoved By This Morning’s Price Data
Chinese Markets Unmoved By This Morning’s Price Data US weekly jobless claims, of all things, was responsible for yesterday’s main market move. Applications rose from 233k to 261k, more than the 235k expected. It triggered a US bond rally which dragged European peers higher as well. While it doesn’t change expectations for a pause at […]
USD/CAD at Risk on Hawkish BoC but Fed May Be a Spoiler
USD/CAD at Risk on Hawkish BoC but Fed May Be a Spoiler The Canadian dollar has appreciated sharply against the U.S. dollar since late May. The chart below shows how USD/CAD has fallen more than 2.0% over the past two weeks, with the pair now trading near C$1.3350 and steadily approaching its 2023 lows. Bank […]
Surprise BoC Hike Fuels Hawks Around the World
Surprise BoC Hike Fuels Hawks Around the World The surprise 25bp hike from the Bank of Canada (BoC) yesterday sent shockwaves across the financial markets. BoC decision to resume its rate hikes after a two-meeting pause and the surprise 25bp from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) a day earlier fueled the central bank hawks […]
Dow Jones Versus the Nasdaq 100 Amid Rising Government Bond Yields
Dow Jones Versus the Nasdaq 100 Amid Rising Government Bond Yields The blue-chip-oriented Dow Jones gained cautiously on Wednesday while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 sank 1.75% in the worst single-day drop since April 25th. In fact, the Nasdaq/Dow ratio plunged 2.02%, marking the worst 24-hour period since October 27th, which was over 7 months ago. […]
Weak Chinese Trade Data Add to Growth Worries
Weak Chinese Trade Data Add to Growth Worries German Bunds outperformed US Treasuries during European trading hours following an unexpectedly strong decrease of inflation expectations in the ECB’s April Consumer Expectations Survey. The divergence between the two became even larger as US Treasuries started underperforming (especially at the front end the curve) during the US […]
Gold Gets its Groove as Markets Consolidate across the Board
Gold Gets its Groove as Markets Consolidate across the Board The gold price is oscillating around US$ 1,980 again today as markets reassess the landscape with China looking to stoke some growth and next week’s Fed meeting coming into view. It is being reported that China wants the domestic big banks to lower deposit rates […]
Reserve Bank of Australia Raised Policy Rate Further by 25 bps
Reserve Bank of Australia Raised Policy Rate Further by 25 bps A disappointing US non-manufacturing ISM was yesterday’s defining moment for FI and FX trading. Up until the release, the post-payrolls momentum still pushed US rates and the dollar gently higher. Afterwards, intraday fortunes changes, the first Pavlov reaction didn’t really gain traction afterwards. Turning […]
What is a Forex Spread?
What is a Forex Spread? A Forex spread is the difference between the bid price and the ask price of a currency pair. Each Forex company offers different spreads on each of its currency pairs. For example if the EUR/USD pair has a spread of 1.5 pips that mean the trader will be able to […]
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast EUR/USD: Dollar Awaits U.S. Bankruptcy The dollar has been rising since May 4. Last week, on May 26, the DXY Index reached 104.34. It hasn’t been this high since mid-March 2023. What is driving the U.S. currency up and, consequently, pushing the EUR/USD pair down? According to analysts at Commerzbank, “the […]
US PCE Deflators and Durable Goods Orders Scheduled
US PCE Deflators and Durable Goods Orders Scheduled UK bonds crashed for a second day straight with yields adding 10.6-19.2 bps across the curve. UK money markets discount an additional 100 bps tightening by December following the big upside CPI surprise Wednesday morning. Sterling initially revisited YtD highs but unable to force a break higher, […]
Fed Minutes Depict Uncertainty Surrounding Future Rate Hikes
Fed Minutes Depict Uncertainty Surrounding Future Rate Hikes The minutes from the May 2-3 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting reiterated that curtailing inflation remains the principal objective of the Fed. On the current state of the economy, the Committee members noted that “economic activity had expanded at a modest pace in the first quarter. […]
EUR/USD Trying to Extend Bottoming Out
EUR/USD Trying to Extend Bottoming Out U.S. Treasuries and German bunds parted ways Friday after a combined 10 basis point rise the day before. U.S. yields still rose between 1.3and 4.8 basis points, with the belly underperforming. They easily overcame a setback in the early hours of U.S. trading when Fed Chairman Powell said credit […]