RBA Board to Pause Again at its May Meeting The Reserve Bank Board meets next week on May 2. Following the release of the March quarter inflation report Westpac now expects the Board to extend the pause it instigated at
Temporary First Republic-Related Stress to Fade Further Shares of First Republic remain on a slide, but the spillover to other markets was much less than Tuesday. The new sell-off in the stock came after CNBC reported that the U.S. government
Riksbank to Deliver 50bp Rate Hike Today Today’s main event will be the Riksbank’s policy rate decision at 9:30 CET, where we expect a 50 basis point hike in line with market prices. We also expect the Riksbank to announce
Caution Prevails Ahead of Big Tech Earnings Most Asian equities flashed red on Tuesday, pressured by losses in Chinese shares as investors evaluated China’s re-opening story in the face of negative economic and geopolitical forces. European futures are pointing to
EUR/USD Key Resistance Test EUR/USD: EUR/USD continues to struggle with resistance around the 1.1000 level, despite aggressive comments from ECB, which were reiterated in the release of the meeting minutes of the Bank’s latest rate hike. Headline inflation CPI has
NZ Consumers Price Index Consumer prices rose 1.2% in the March quarter and are up 6.7% over the past year. The March result was below our forecast, and much lower than the RBNZ’s expectation. New Zealand consumer prices rose 1.2%
EUR/USD, GBP/USD Hold Near Resistance Ahead of Euro Both the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pair are holding near key points of resistance with inflation data set to be released from each economy tomorrow morning. While European inflation has fallen as the
EUR/USD April 2022 High Offers Resistance EUR/USD cleared the February high (1.1033) last week to register a fresh yearly high (1.1076), but lack of momentum to breach the April 2022 high (1.1076) may lead to a near-term pullback in the
US Inflation Expectations Jump, Earnings Season Kicks Despite the softer-than-expected inflation data released earlier last week, US inflation expectations shocked investors at last Friday’s release; the 1-year expectation jumped from 3.6% to 4.6% due to the surprise surge in energy
Constructive Developments for the Consumer Developments in Australia and the US this week were supportive of our views for the RBA and the FOMC. The Westpac- MI Consumer Confidence Survey provided a positive update on confidence. The RBA’s decision to
Fed Minutes Showed Recent Banking Turmoil May Result in Lower The minutes of the March 21-22, 2023, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting reaffirmed that price and financial stability are of paramount importance to the Fed. Regarding the economy, Committee
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed Today we take a look at Nordic inflation with March figures CPI from Denmark and Norway. In Denmark, we expect a 0.6 percentage point decline to 7.0%, driven by base effects
Asia Shows its Strength as US Growth Prospects Dwindle In Australia, the RBA was the focus of market participants’ attention. Outside the country, the RBNZ reaffirmed its hawkish resolve, while U.S. data weakened noticeably. The RBA decided to leave the
First Impressions: RBNZ Monetary Policy Review The RBNZ raised the policy rate by an unexpectedly large 50 basis points, and another 25 basis point hike appears to be scheduled for the May Monetary Policy Statement. RBNZ Monetary Policy Report, April
US Takes Center Stage in this Holiday-Shorted Week The steep decline in strength costs over the previous few months prompted March headline inflation in Europe to decline considerably year-over-year (from 8.5% to 6.9%). Rising core inflation and excessive m/m readings
Gold Price Vulnerable to Persistent US Inflation The cost of gold might organize further endeavors to test the 2022 high ($2071) as it moves to a new week-after-week high ($1984), however new information print emerging from the US might prompt
German and Spanish Inflation Prints in Focus The main focus today will be on the German and Spanish flash inflation data, which will provide the first sense of what to expect from the euro area HICP figures tomorrow. Generally, we
Australia February Monthly CPI Indicator The Monthly CPI indicator rose 6.8% in the year to February, compared with the Westpac forecast of 7.4% year-on-year and the market forecast of 7.2% year-on-year. This represents a significant downside risk to our March
