US CPI Preview CPI to remain elevated
US CPI Preview CPI to remain elevated The September headline inflation was 8.2% YoY, higher than expectations of 8.1% YoY, however lower than the August reading of 8.3% YoY. The Core CPI reading was higher than expected at 6.6% YoY vs expectations of 6.5% YoY and an August reading of 6.3% YoY. This was the […]
FOMC Meeting, Expected Hike 75bps
FOMC Meeting, Expected Hike 75bps The FOMC will conclude it’s monetary policy today. The expectation is that traders are pricing in nearly 90% odds of a 75bps interest rate hike, an expectation that was supported by the Wall Street Journal’s. Traders are currently pricing in a peak Fed Funds rate around 4.9% in May 2023, […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, NZD, AUD, CHF, EUR, USD, CAD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, NZD, AUD, CHF, EUR, USD, CAD JPY: SPPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of services purchased by corporations. NZD: ANZ Business Confidence, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, retailers, agricultural firms, and service providers. AUD: CPI q/q, it measures Change in the price […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, EUR, GBP, USD JPY: BOJ Core CPI y/y, it measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy. EUR: German ifo Business Climate, it measures Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, wholesalers, services, and retailers. GBP: MPC Member Pill Speaks, […]
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, JPY, EUR, GBP, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: AUD, JPY, EUR, GBP, USD AUD: Flash Manufacturing PMI, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. AUD: Flash Services PMI, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry. AUD: RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks, He’s […]
The Contrarian Case for a EUR/USD Rally if Rates Can Break Above
The Contrarian Case for a EUR/USD Rally if Rates Can Break Above It’s not particularly hard to make a bearish case for the European economy, especially relative to the US. Between a war in it’s backyard, energy shortages, and an imminent economic recession, it would be hard for the outlook for the Eurozone to look […]
Currency Pair of the Week: GBP/USD
Currency Pair of the Week: GBP/USD GBP/USD is one of the most popular pairs to discuss over the last month. When Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng announced the plans for Prime Minister Truss’s new mini-budget program, markets were concerned as to where the money would come to fund it. The Bank of England had been slowly raising […]
Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, JPY, AUD, GBP, CHF, EUR, USD
[vc_row full_width=”stretch_row”][vc_column][vc_column_text] Upcoming Market Updates: NZD, JPY, AUD, GBP, CHF, EUR, USD NZD: Building Consents m/m, it measures Change in the number of new building approvals issued. JPY: Unemployment Rate, it measures Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. JPY: Prelim Industrial Production m/m, it […]
GBP down during Asian Trade
GBP down during Asian Trade The pound was aggressively lower during Asian trade. CME stopped trading of GBP futures. GBP/USD touched a record low. Combination of the UK’s mini budget and flight to the dollar weigh on sterling. The GBP was already facing heavy selling pressure on Friday when the UK’s new chancellor unveiled his […]
SNB could surprise (again) with a larger than expected hike
SNB could surprise (again) with a larger than expected hike The central bank entered ZIRP between 2011-2015 before switching to NIRP with a rate of -0.75%, where it remained until June this year. And with seemingly few paying attention, they not only hiked rates but came out swinging with a 50 bp hike and sent […]
USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report
USD Index COT Data from the commitments of traders report US bond yields have continued to rise in an almost parabolic fashion, with 1 year note now just shy of 4%, and the 2-year at 3.8% with an increasingly inverted yield curve. And large speculators are not shy in capitalizing on these lower bond prices- […]
EUR/USD faces barricades around 0.9863, focus shifts to US Inflation data
EUR/USD faces barricades around 0.9863, focus shifts to US Inflation data The past week was marked by two important events. The EUR/USD pair updated its 20-year low on Tuesday, September 6th once again, falling to 0.9863. And then the European Central Bank raised its key interest rate for the first time in its history by […]
USD/CNH – US Dollar Chinese Yuan Offshore News
USD/CNH – US Dollar Chinese Yuan Offshore News Another news from China which is not good. It is nation’s trade disappointing figures expectation. The yuan fell further, USD/CNH to almost 7.0000. The poor imports figure in particular raised concerns about how weak the Chinese economy has become as it faces troubles. These include the ongoing […]
Liz Truss Defeats Rishi Sunak To Become New UK PM
Liz Truss Defeats Rishi Sunak To Become New UK PM Liz Truss will become the new UK prime minister on Tuesday after defeating Rishi Sunak in the Tory leadership contest today. The result was closer thank many people had expected, with Truss taking 57% of votes cast. The markets hardly reacted to the news, not […]
RBA to Raise the Cash Rate by 50 bps, AUD
RBA to Raise the Cash Rate by 50 bps, AUD Reserve Bank meeting is on 6th September. It is expected that the cash rate will be raised by 50 basis points to 2.35%. The best approach will be to strengthen the statement we saw last month, not on a pre set path and following Chair […]
Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY
Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) YoY The ECB is expected to raise the interest rate on their next meeting on 7th Sep. The discussion is that if the rates will be increased by 50bps or 75bps ? ECB members have been preparing the markets for what could be a potential 75bps hike, despite the possibility […]
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, AUD, CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD, USD
Upcoming Market Updates: JPY, AUD, CHF, EUR, GBP, CAD, USD JPY: Unemployment Rate, it measures Percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month. AUD: Building Approvals m/m, it measures Change in the number of new building approvals issued. CHF: KOF Economic Barometer, it measures Level of […]
Australia Retail Sales Growth at 4-Month High
Australia Retail Sales Growth at 4-Month High The ABS initial estimates of official retail showed a much stronger than expected 1.3% gain in July. That compares to a low rise of 0.2% in June and marks the strongest monthly gain since March. The consensus forecast was of a 0.3% rise The detail shows a broad-based […]