Inflation rate of 8.8% expected in August 2022

The statistics released from 30th August turned out to be quite close to market expectations. The harmonized consumer price index in Germany, was 8.8% with the forecast of 8.8%. The consumer price index in the Eurozone amounted to 9.1% instead of expected 9.0%.The index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector did not change at all over the month and amounted to 52.8, and the number of new jobs created outside the American agriculture sector did not go far from the expected either, 315k against 300k. As a result EUR/USD was moving along the equality line of 1.0000 whole week, fluctuating in the range of 0.9910-1.0078, and completed the five day period at the level of 0.9955.

The key day will be 8th September when the ECB will decide on the deposit rate and make a statement and comments on its monetary policy. Inflation in the Eurozone rose even more in August: from 8.9% to 9.1%. Many experts believe that the European regulator will raise the rate by 75 basis points at once.

The nearest bearish target for EUR/USD is 0.9900-0.9910 zone. The 0.9900-0.9930 area is also a strong 2002 support/resistance zone. Apart from the parity level of 1.0000, if the euro strengthens, the first priority for the bulls will be to rise above the resistance of 1.0030. After that, it will be necessary to overcome the level of 1.0080 and consolidate in the zone of 1.0100-1.0280, the next target area is 1.0370-1.0470.