Weak US CPI, EUR/USD
It was the sort of movement which was needed. The most anticipated US inflation report lived up to expectations in terms of market impact as the dollar plunged and everything else went up, including all foreign currencies, gold ,BTC, and stocks. Among the majors, the EUR/USD has finally broken out of its tight consolidation phase, suggesting more short-term gains could in the days ahead, despite all the troubles for the Eurozone.
Driven by sharp declines in energy and gas prices, the 8.5% annual inflation read was relatively sharply weaker from 9.1% recorded in June. It is still uncomfortably high, but investors will take some comfort in that it was the first headline CPI reading that came below expectation in 11 months.
July was a strong month for employment, but not so strong for inflation, investors will look for signs on how the American consumer’s outlook is shaping on the economy and inflation prospects. Consumer sentiment will be in news on Friday. Thanks to soaring prices of everything from gas to food, consumer sentiment in US has been dropping rapidly in recent months, mirroring the situation in Europe and the rest of the world. However, the US economy has dealt with the inflation storm better than other regions, which is why the dollar has until recently been so strong. Let’s see if the momentum will change ? If we se signs of a struggling US consumer, then this could hurt the dollar further.