EUR/USD flat-lines around mid-1.0700s, traders await US CPI and FOMC decision this week
EUR/USD flat-lines around mid-1.0700s, traders await US CPI and FOMC decision this week The EUR/USD pair recovers a few pips from the Asian session low and for now, seems to have stalled its retracement slide from over a two-week high touched on Friday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.0700s, nearly unchanged for the day, […]
Chinese Markets Unmoved By This Morning’s Price Data
Chinese Markets Unmoved By This Morning’s Price Data US weekly jobless claims, of all things, was responsible for yesterday’s main market move. Applications rose from 233k to 261k, more than the 235k expected. It triggered a US bond rally which dragged European peers higher as well. While it doesn’t change expectations for a pause at […]
USD/CAD at Risk on Hawkish BoC but Fed May Be a Spoiler
USD/CAD at Risk on Hawkish BoC but Fed May Be a Spoiler The Canadian dollar has appreciated sharply against the U.S. dollar since late May. The chart below shows how USD/CAD has fallen more than 2.0% over the past two weeks, with the pair now trading near C$1.3350 and steadily approaching its 2023 lows. Bank […]
Surprise BoC Hike Fuels Hawks Around the World
Surprise BoC Hike Fuels Hawks Around the World The surprise 25bp hike from the Bank of Canada (BoC) yesterday sent shockwaves across the financial markets. BoC decision to resume its rate hikes after a two-meeting pause and the surprise 25bp from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) a day earlier fueled the central bank hawks […]
Dow Jones Versus the Nasdaq 100 Amid Rising Government Bond Yields
Dow Jones Versus the Nasdaq 100 Amid Rising Government Bond Yields The blue-chip-oriented Dow Jones gained cautiously on Wednesday while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 sank 1.75% in the worst single-day drop since April 25th. In fact, the Nasdaq/Dow ratio plunged 2.02%, marking the worst 24-hour period since October 27th, which was over 7 months ago. […]
Weak Chinese Trade Data Add to Growth Worries
Weak Chinese Trade Data Add to Growth Worries German Bunds outperformed US Treasuries during European trading hours following an unexpectedly strong decrease of inflation expectations in the ECB’s April Consumer Expectations Survey. The divergence between the two became even larger as US Treasuries started underperforming (especially at the front end the curve) during the US […]
Gold Gets its Groove as Markets Consolidate across the Board
Gold Gets its Groove as Markets Consolidate across the Board The gold price is oscillating around US$ 1,980 again today as markets reassess the landscape with China looking to stoke some growth and next week’s Fed meeting coming into view. It is being reported that China wants the domestic big banks to lower deposit rates […]
Reserve Bank of Australia Raised Policy Rate Further by 25 bps
Reserve Bank of Australia Raised Policy Rate Further by 25 bps A disappointing US non-manufacturing ISM was yesterday’s defining moment for FI and FX trading. Up until the release, the post-payrolls momentum still pushed US rates and the dollar gently higher. Afterwards, intraday fortunes changes, the first Pavlov reaction didn’t really gain traction afterwards. Turning […]
GBP/USD struggles to surpass 1.2450, upside seems favored despite hawkish Fed bets improve
GBP/USD struggles to surpass 1.2450, upside seems favored despite hawkish Fed bets improve The GBP/USD pair has witnessed delicate barricades after climbing to near 1.2450 in the early European session. The Cable is expected to remain on tenterhooks as the USD Dollar Index (DXY) has attempted a recovery after dropping to near 103.81. More downside […]
FOMO Regime Change for US Stock Market
FOMO Regime Change for US Stock Market The laggards, Dow Jones Industrial Average & Russell 2000 have recorded stellar single-day outperformances on Friday, 2 June against the Nasdaq 100; at least a three-month high. Market breadth has improved but fundamental structure remains weak due to stagflation risk. Positive FOMO (“fear of missing out”) flows may […]
XAU/USD bears approach $1,930 support on upbeat US Dollar
XAU/USD bears approach $1,930 support on upbeat US Dollar Gold Price (XAU/USD) stays on the bear’s radar for the second consecutive day as the precious metal renews intraday low near $1,945, extending the post-NFP losses amid to early Monday amid firmer US Dollar and the Treasury bond yields. That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) […]
8 Tips for Trading Gold (XAU/USD)
8 Tips for Trading Gold (XAU/USD) As forex traders seek out stable investments that can hedge against inflation, market instability, and other geopolitical factors, gold has become more popular than ever. Traders can use gold as a way to hedge against other investments or as a safe haven that provides consistency over time and is […]
EUR/USD: Planning for Friday’s NFP Volatility
EUR/USD: Planning for Friday’s NFP Volatility EUR/USD started June with a 100-pip rally after a volatile end to May. Given the selloff we saw last month, a retracement in early June was to be expected, although I did think a 1.0600 retest might come first. So what should we watch ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll […]
US and Taiwan Set to Sign the First Deal Under a New Trade Talks Framework
US and Taiwan Set to Sign the First Deal Under a New Trade Talks Framework Core bonds enjoyed another solid bid yesterday, further unwinding ‘hawkish sentiment’ that reigned since mid-May. Chinese inspired risk-off and softer than expected national CPI data from Germany (HICP 6.3% Y/Y from 7.6%) and France (6.0% from 6.9M%) supported the move. […]
What is a Forex Spread?
What is a Forex Spread? A Forex spread is the difference between the bid price and the ask price of a currency pair. Each Forex company offers different spreads on each of its currency pairs. For example if the EUR/USD pair has a spread of 1.5 pips that mean the trader will be able to […]
What if Russia Didn’t Follow OPEC’s Output Cuts?
What if Russia Didn’t Follow OPEC’s Output Cuts? The US 2-year yield fell sharply, while the S&P500 ended flat after hitting a fresh high since last summer on optimism that the US will finally agree to raise the debt ceiling. The House will vote today to decide whether the debt limit bill gets approved at […]
One Step Closer to Debt Ceiling Deal – And a Fed Hike
One Step Closer to Debt Ceiling Deal – And a Fed Hike The holiday shortened trading week starts tense but on an optimistic note as US President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy finally reached an agreement to raise the debt ceiling. The deal must get approval in a congressional vote on Wednesday. US […]
What is a Forex Strategy?
What is a Forex Strategy? Forex traders start off by making trades based on minimal knowledge, and a close watch of the market without planning ahead. It is possible to trade this way and sometimes even make profits. But if trading is to be taken seriously it takes a lot more than just that. Anybody […]