US Faces 87% Increase in Debt Interest Costs at Fiscal Year Start
US Faces 87% Increase in Debt Interest Costs at Fiscal Year Start The United States commenced its fiscal year facing an 87% surge in the cost of interest on its national debt, a stark indicator of the financial burden that increased Treasury yields have imposed. In October, the government paid a striking $88.9 billion in […]
Australia and New Zealand Projected to Have Sub-3% Inflation by 2024
Australia and New Zealand Projected to Have Sub-3% Inflation by 2024 Goldman Sachs Group Inc. foresees a downward trend in inflation for Australia and New Zealand, anticipating it will drop slightly below 3% by the latter part of 2024. This projection aligns with the goals of the respective central banks and suggests a possible environment […]
Australian and New Zealand Currencies Endure a Tough Week as Rate Hike Expectations Offer Minimal Relief
Australian and New Zealand Currencies Endure a Tough Week as Rate Hike Expectations Offer Minimal Relief Throughout the week, the Australian and New Zealand dollars have been on a downward trajectory, marking their fifth consecutive session of losses on Friday. The downtrend has been exacerbated by a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, which has put […]
USD Index Hovers Around 105.50, Awaits Jerome Powell’s Speech for Direction
USD Index Hovers Around 105.50, Awaits Jerome Powell’s Speech for Direction The USD Index (DXY) finds itself in a consolidative phase, trading near the 105.50 level as the European trading session commences on Thursday. Market participants are exhibiting a general lack of direction, with their attention firmly fixed on the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve […]
Pound Sterling’s Vulnerability Heightened by Anticipation of UK Q3 GDP Figures
Pound Sterling’s Vulnerability Heightened by Anticipation of UK Q3 GDP Figures The Pound Sterling is witnessing a gradual decline as investor sentiment has become cautious in the lead-up to the release of the UK’s third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, alongside Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on the direction of interest rates. There is […]
UK’s Strong Inflation Data Pushes EUR/GBP Below 0.8680
UK’s Strong Inflation Data Pushes EUR/GBP Below 0.8680 During Wednesday’s early European trading session, the EUR/GBP currency pair experienced selling pressure, influenced largely by robust inflation data from the UK. This stronger-than-anticipated inflationary trend propelled the British Pound (GBP) upward, placing the EUR/GBP cross under some strain. Currently, the currency pair stands at around 0.8682, […]
Dollar Plunges to Upper 138 Yen Zone Amidst Speculation Over BOJ Policy Adjustment
Dollar Plunges to Upper 138 Yen Zone Amidst Speculation Over BOJ Policy Adjustment The U.S. dollar saw a dramatic fall to the upper 138 yen level in Tokyo’s early trading hours on Friday. This substantial shift was driven by widespread speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may be considering adjustments to its ultra-easy monetary […]
US-China Resume Climate Talks, Vow Big Steps
US-China Resume Climate Talks, Vow Big Steps John Kerry, the US Climate Envoy, initiated his first significant climate discussions with Chinese officials in almost a year. Despite the profound tensions between the two superpowers, both sides committed to achieving practical results. Xie Zhenhua, China’s climate envoy, indicated on Monday that China is pursuing substantial dialogue […]
EUR/USD Volatility Rises Above 1.1200 Ahead of US Retail Sales
EUR/USD Volatility Rises Above 1.1200 Ahead of US Retail Sales As the anticipated US Retail Sales data for June looms, the EUR/USD pair has experienced a noticeable increase in volatility, crossing the significant 1.1200 threshold. This major currency pair has found a degree of stability as investors from around the globe eagerly await these crucial […]
Inflation and Recession Worries Take Center Stage This Week
Inflation and Recession Worries Take Center Stage This Week US The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is anticipated to end its rate-hiking campaign shortly. Attention will turn to Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) readings, hoping for a decline in inflation. A decrease in inflation may boost swap futures’ confidence in one more Fed rate hike. Wall Street […]
Gold Gets its Groove as Markets Consolidate across the Board
Gold Gets its Groove as Markets Consolidate across the Board The gold price is oscillating around US$ 1,980 again today as markets reassess the landscape with China looking to stoke some growth and next week’s Fed meeting coming into view. It is being reported that China wants the domestic big banks to lower deposit rates […]
EUR/USD: Planning for Friday’s NFP Volatility
EUR/USD: Planning for Friday’s NFP Volatility EUR/USD started June with a 100-pip rally after a volatile end to May. Given the selloff we saw last month, a retracement in early June was to be expected, although I did think a 1.0600 retest might come first. So what should we watch ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll […]
EUR/USD Trying to Extend Bottoming Out
EUR/USD Trying to Extend Bottoming Out U.S. Treasuries and German bunds parted ways Friday after a combined 10 basis point rise the day before. U.S. yields still rose between 1.3and 4.8 basis points, with the belly underperforming. They easily overcame a setback in the early hours of U.S. trading when Fed Chairman Powell said credit […]
US Dollar strength weighs on Gold price
US Dollar strength weighs on Gold price Gold is struggling to capitalise on Friday’s modest rise from the $1.970 region and is coming under selling pressure on the first day of the new week. The XAU/USD pair is trading around the $1.977 level during the Asian session, remaining within striking distance of a two-week low […]
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed
Solid US Jobs Growth Supports May Hike from Fed Today we take a look at Nordic inflation with March figures CPI from Denmark and Norway. In Denmark, we expect a 0.6 percentage point decline to 7.0%, driven by base effects in energy prices. In Norway, we expect core inflation to rise by 0.2 percentage points […]
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA
EUR/USD Rebound Fizzles Ahead of 50-Day SMA EUR/USD approaches the 50-day SMA as it extends the rebound from the February low 1.0533, but a slowdown in the Euro Area’s Consumer Price Index may drag on the exchange rate as it encourages the European Central Bank to winddown its hiking-cycle. The decline from the yearly high […]
FOMC Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come
FOMC Hikes Rates and Signals More to Come As universally expected, the FOMC raised its target range for the federal funds rate by 25 bps at the conclusion of its policy meeting today. But the tightening cycle likely is not over yet as the FOMC noted that it “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target […]
USD/JPY expected slide
USD/JPY expected slide Last year was tough for Japanese yen. USD/JPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of […]