Fundamental Analysis Category

JPY Bearish Positioning is Getting Overstretched Better than expected US non-farm payrolls for April have failed to ignite US dollar bulls. Two outliers; the safe haven currencies, CHF and JPY underperformed against the US dollar due to the resurgence of risk-on behavior in the US stock market. JPY future’s bearish positioning has highlighted a risk

Will Nonfarm Payrolls Hint at a Fed Pause in June? The Federal Reserve delivered its tenth consecutive rate hike on Wednesday, as expected, but reset its guidance to indicate increased emphasis on incoming data. Hence, Friday’s nonfarm payrolls will be the next test for the US dollar at 12:30 GMT, with forecasts pointing to a

A Risky Lopsided US Stock Market Performance The year-to-date performance of the S&P 500 has been heavily skewed by the top 8 market cap stocks (FAANG + MNT). US regional bank fear persists despite the takeover of First Republic Bank by JPMorgan Chase. Markets are looking out for clues on the timing of the first

RBA Board Hikes the Cash Rate by 0.25% Choosing to raise is the better policy option, even if it is not consistent with our interpretation of the implicit guidelines. The Reserve Bank Board raised the policy rate by another 0.25% at its May meeting, bringing the policy rate to 3.85%. The decision came as a

Slightly Easing Price Pressures   A busy week of data releases and central banks begins on a quiet note. Today we are eager to see if the US ISM manufacturing index for April reflects similar strength to previous PMIs. Early Tuesday morning, we expect the RBA to leave monetary policy unchanged in line with market