Japan’s Wholesale Inflation Slows for 8th Month, Stays Above Target

In the latest economic update from Japan, the nation’s wholesale inflation rate exhibited a continuing trend of deceleration in August, marking the eighth consecutive month of decline. This development is likely to be received with relief by households and retailers alike, who have been grappling with the ramifications of earlier sharp spikes in the costs of raw material imports.

The key metric in focus here is the corporate goods price index (CGPI), a gauge that tracks the prices companies levy on each other for their products and services. In August, the CGPI registered a 3.2% increase compared to the same period in the previous year. This figure aligns with the expectations of the market’s median forecast.

Notably, this August figure represents a decline from the revised 3.4% upswing observed in July. Furthermore, it signifies a substantial retreat from the pinnacle of a 10.6% surge recorded back in December of the preceding year, as per data sourced from the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

The ascent in wholesale prices, which was originally instigated by the surge in global commodity costs last year, compounded by the weakening yen, has had a ripple effect on consumer inflation in Japan. Many companies have passed on the escalated costs to households, thereby contributing to higher consumer prices.

It is pertinent to highlight that while consumer inflation has steadfastly remained above the BOJ’s target of 2% for more than a year, the central bank remains resolute in emphasizing the necessity to uphold a loose monetary policy stance. This stance is to be upheld until a shift occurs from the current supply-driven inflation to a demand-driven price increase. In essence, the BOJ is looking for sustainable economic factors and consumer demand to drive inflation, rather than relying on supply chain disruptions and commodity price fluctuations.

This ongoing pattern of easing wholesale inflation in Japan underscores the complexity of the nation’s economic landscape. Policymakers and analysts will continue to closely monitor these trends, as they seek to strike a balance between stimulating economic growth and ensuring price stability in the coming months.